The Ukraine war has had a devastating impact on the global economy, disrupting maritime trade with significant ramifications for the commercial operations and the global supply chain. What are the security concerns for the regional states? What are the evolving implications on the economic sectors in this region?

Our intelligence analysts researched the factors influencing maritime trade in the Black Sea and provided us with an insightful outlook for 2023. Two of our Europe specialists, Valentin Munteanu and Stephanos Chaillou, brought their insights and analysis on security developments in the Black Sea region and offered some scenarios on the outlook of critical economic sectors in the wider European region.

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We are delighted to have as guest speakers Rob Currie and James Strickland of RCAS. These two security professionals will have a conversation with our CEO Alessandro Martello about “leadership in crisis management.” 

As we continue to navigate through the pandemic, the disruptive effects rooted in the Ukraine war, the effects of climate change, and increasingly competitive geopolitical environment, the coming year will likely see more political, economic, security and social turbulence impacting organisations globally. This conversation will highlight some of the key principals that an organisation’s leadership have or will likely experience during crisis events. Our panel of experts will also discuss lessons learned from their own experiences and how those lessons translated into actionable advice and services that benefitted their respective companies and clients. 

Come join us on January 25th for another NSSG Talks! 

Our webinar series is free to attend and welcomes both risk management professionals as well as any geopolitics enthusiasts.

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For our February edition of the NSSG Talks, our intelligence team took a look back on the first year of the full-scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine and analysed what that has meant to the business world. Our analysts discussed about recent developments in Moldova, which is vying for EU membership, and the implications on trade and investment.

Our senior intelligence analysts examined the military and geopolitical nuances of the war and how these pose further threats against the global business environment. Our Eurasia analyst, Robert Ballante, focused on the military developments as well as pointed out on the geopolitical perspective and future implications brought by the war in Ukraine. As for the regional overview, our senior intelligence analyst Valentin Munteanu analysed the perspectives of Romania and Moldova and how the conflict will likely change their respective geopolitical positions and strategies and what the implications are for businesses with interests in the region.

Our webinar series is free to attend and welcomes both risk management professionals as well as any geopolitics enthusiasts.

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For our March edition of the NSSG Talks, our intelligence team dived into a discussion focused on Kazakhstan and its business environment particularities.

As we observed, the elections show that only a little has structurally changed in the Kazakh political system. In fact, the President continues to remain a dominating figure. Since the deep-seated reasons that led to the outpouring of dissent in January 2022 have not been addressed, we could consider that street violence could break out again at any time.

These and other important geopolitical aspects were considered in our March webinar edition, fully focused on revealing what the implications are for businesses with interests in the region.

Our webinar series is free to attend and welcomes both risk management professionals as well as geopolitics enthusiasts.

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We were delighted to have as our guest speaker Gavin Greenwood, Director at A2 Global Risk. Gavin is an expert on Asia-Pacific Affairs with a special focus on China and Southeast Asia.

With a considerable amount of experience in the region, Gavin is providing expert analysis for IHS Janes, Control Risks, Eastern Express, Far Eastern Economic Review and Thomson Reuters. Gavin is frequently interviewed for publications such as Nikkei Asia, VOA News, and Australian Associated Press, among others.

Our NSSG Talks focused on China and the implications on businesses from countries that are decoupling from the world’s manufacturing base. We discussed the factors that are prompting states to diversify their supply chains from China and into new markets. What will this mean for relations between the US and EU from a business perspective?

Check out the webinar’s recording to capture the insightful point Gavin has shared with us.

Our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals as well as geopolitics enthusiasts.

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Navigating the disruptive wave of global events can be exhausting for those of you responsible for securing the organisation’s business and corporate travels.

At NSSG, we understand your struggles concerning travel risk management (TRM) practices. Therefore we were delighted to have as our guest speaker David Sarafinas, President & Founder at Global Ground Truth, in our episode of the NSSG Talks webinar series, which focused on discussing all Travel Risk Management potential threats as well as best practices and solutions.

With +23 years of experience in travel risk management, where he supported hundreds of organisations with building corporate travel protocols, developing medical and security networks of assistance, as well as guide in establishing incident management procedures and selecting the proper technology, David joins us in supporting fellow professionals with perfecting or establishing the much needed TRM and Duty of Care programs.

Our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals as well as geopolitics enthusiasts.

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As anticipated in our Global Risk Outlook for 2023, the world is becoming more affected by the pressure of rapidly unfolding geopolitical, economic, health, and security events that threaten the mental well-being of our societies and organisations’ staff members.

In recent years, we have witnessed a global increase in psychiatric disorders, affecting one in eight individuals, with the CoVid-19 pandemic exacerbating the crisis. Stigma remains a major barrier to accessing mental health care, leading to social isolation and discrimination. 

Our NSSG Talks focused on Psychological Risks and Prof. Dr. Milan Krajnc shared with our audience recommendations on how organisations can better manage these risks.

Who is Prof. Dr. Milan Krajnc?

Nominee for the Nobel Prize in Economics 2021 for developing a new scientific field and a new business concept known as Dynamic Leadership Model (DLM), Prof. Dr. Milan Krajnc is a well-known figure in the psychotherapy and the personal & business growth expertise areas. 

Prof. Dr. Milan Krajnc founded a new scientific field, Dynamilogy, on which he later based the development of a new business concept, and that we know as the Dynamic Leadership Model (DLM). 

DLM combines laws of nature and psychology into modern-day economics science. It provides methods to manage challenges before they escalate into crises.  “DLM is a business paradigm for the direction, organisation, and communication strategies of a company that does not allow the personalities of those who are actively shaping the business process itself to influence it. The entire model is based on the law of nature”, says Milan Krajnc. 

For the last 20 years, Prof. Dr. Milan Krajnc has been dedicated to the private practice of psychotherapy where he successfully brought solutions to multiple crisis situations in business organisations ranging from family-owned businesses to companies and corporations.

His professorship career is divided between the Al-Khalifa Business School that he represents at the Principality of Monaco, the European Center for Peace and Development where he teaches Public Management as well as UN’s University for Peace where he is a Professor of Economic Sciences.

What can we do about the psychological risk, and how can we prevent our organisations from being affected by this trend?

The current episode of our NSSG Talks will help you in making a step closer to your organisation’s risk resilience!

Our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals as well as geopolitics enthusiasts.

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We were delighted to have as our Special Guest Mr. Iulian Chifu, Romania’s former State Secretary on Foreign Relations, Security and Strategic Affairs for the Prime Minister of Romania (2021-2023) in our NSSG Talks of September episode.

Mr. Chifu discussed Romania’s strategic role in the Black Sea region and how this region has become a global focal point since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. As a member of the EU and NATO, Romania plays a pivotal role in addressing the challenges and opportunities arising from these developments. In light of the war, Bucharest has been forced to shift its security strategy.

“Since the 24th of February 2022, we are facing the coming back of the war as an instrument of foreign policy and for solving some levels of ambition and why not, some internal problems for a certain actor, meaning Putin’s Russia and this comes with a number of dramatic changes at the level of the security environment.”, was the key idea underlined by Mr. Chifu.

As for the lessons we’ve learned from this major event impacting Europe, Mr. Chifu went on to say: “When we talk about probability scenarios, I think that that is the most important lesson learned,[…]we’ve learned the hard way that you cannot rule out any scenario.”

Concerning the private entities and how they can better react to such events, Mr. Chifu touched upon the tail risks of today’s war, such as propaganda and fake news and advised organisations to educate their employees on this matter. “The first and most important part is to convey to all employees and people that information comes from authorised sources. You need to pick your sources from public sources and authorised sources, governmental sources and not from gossip, friends, Facebook or the propaganda warfare that is projected.”

Our NSSG Talks focused on these critical developments and what this means for regional geopolitical and geo-economic interests. If you missed our NSSG Talks LIVE, you can watch the recording on our YouTube Channel.

Prof. Dr. Iulian Chifu

Mr. Iulian Chifu is former State Secretary on Foreign Relations, Security and Strategic Affairs for the Prime Minister of Romania (2021-2023) and the founder of the Conflict Prevention and Early Warning Center, in Bucharest. His expertise includes conflict analysis, crisis decision making and the post-Soviet Space.

Associated professor at the National School of Political and Administrative Studies Bucharest (SNSPA), Mr Chifu has published more than thirty books on conflicts, crisis and energy security and numerous articles in reviews, journals and newspapers in Romania and abroad.

Iulian Chifu is a member of the board of the Center for Energy and Resource Security (EUCERS) at King’s College London, UK, and also a member of the International Advisory Committee, Journal CBRNE-Terrorism-Newsletter, Athens, Greece.

Prior positions include presidential Counselor for Strategic Affairs and International Security of the Romanian President (2011-2014), and advisor for Foreign Policy, Security and Defense of the Vice-President of the Romanian Senate (2006-2011). 

Our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals, business leaders, and geopolitics enthusiasts.

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2023 has proven to be another challenging year for businesses. The Ukraine war, interstate cyberwar, China’s economic slowdown, impacts of climate-change, devastating natural disasters, geopolitical tensions, disruption from AI, regional coups and conflicts, and high levels of labour and civil unrest have challenged the risk management skills of organisations globally. 

The next year shows indicators of continued instability that will present similar and new challenges for businesses. What will 2024 look like? How can organisations navigate safely and securely through uncertainty? These were some of the questions our special guest and our team members tackled within the December 2023 episode of the NSSG Talks series. 

NSSG’s leadership is thrilled to share with you our special discussion about the world of risk in 2023, including some lessons learned and lessons to be learned as we move into 2024.

Keynote Speaker:

Lawrence H. Sanchez, NSSG’s Board of Advisors Member || Former Assistant Commissioner for Intelligence NY Police Department || Former Senior Executive CIA (Central Intelligence Agency)

Speakers:

 Alessandro Martello MSyl, NSSG’s CEO and Founder

 Ital Dar, NSSG’s COO

 Joe Frederick, NSSG’s Senior Geopolitical Risk Advisor

 If you would like to be timely informed about our next webinars, kindly subscribe to our updates feed via this form.

Our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals, business leaders, and industry peers.

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As the Ukraine War enters its two-year ongoing conflict, there are deep concerns over its trajectory. In the run-up to the 24 February 2022 invasion, most media pundits and security experts held the belief that Russia would be relatively successful in absorbing Ukraine in a short period of time. Few predicted the severity of the impact the war would have on the global economy. Geopolitically, there has been a recalibration of alliances, and the long-term implications of this are uncertain. Between then and now, Ukraine has demonstrated tremendous resolve and defied huge odds through a combination of patriotism and foreign support.

The war has posed major geopolitical, security, cybersecurity, and economic challenges to Europe, NATO, and the rest of the world. It has left an indelible mark on history, but what about the future? Where is it headed? What are the implications?

These were some of the questions discussed by our distinguished guest speakers Ian Thornton-Trump CD, CISO at Cyjax, Dr Paul Thornbury, Lecturer in Criminology at Bath Spa University and Mykola Mikheiev CFE CFE, ASIS Ukraine Chapter Chair and the Local Security Officer of the European Union Advisory Mission in Ukraine together with Joe Frederick, NSSG’s Senior Geopolitical Risk Advisor.

We want to send our appreciation to our guest speakers for their willingness to share knowledge and their expert perspectives concerning our topic, as well as to all those who attended our discussion live or expressed an interest in the proposed topic. Please find below the recording of our webinar for your viewing.

We remind you that our webinar series is free to attend, and we welcome risk management professionals, business leaders, and industry peers. You can stay updated on our upcoming episodes by subscribing to the following link.

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